A history of the double comeback
This article was originally published on This Week In Football.
A quick one from me this week while I’m on holiday (got to see my first game at Adelaide Oval, great stadium!).
This came to my attention from a comment on r/AFL – the idea of a double comeback. Team A gains a significant lead, Team B reverses that into a significant lead of their own, but Team A comes back again and wins the match.
Originally a thirty point margin was floated as the threshold. However, since 2001 (the start of score-by-score progression on AFLTables) there have been 29 games in which both teams have held a lead of 30+ points at some point.
But in none of those did the team who surrendered the initial lead secure the win (including the Essendon v Carlton draw in Round 23 2014.)
If we drop our threshold down to 24+ points we get 5 examples of the double comeback, any of which are well worth a revisit (unless you were on the wrong end and the wounds are still too deep) and some are genuinely classics:
Adelaide v Melbourne 2002 Semi-Final
Adelaide lead by 40 points
Melbourne lead by 28 points
Adelaide win by 12 points
Sydney v North Melbourne 2006 Round 10
Sydney lead by 27 points
North lead by 32 points
Sydney wins by 7 points
Brisbane v Carlton 2008 Round 21
Carlton lead by 24 points
Brisbane lead by 32 points
Carlton win by 6 points
Carlton v West Coast 2014 Round 6
Carlton lead by 24 points
West Coast lead by 1 point
Carlton lead by 19 points
West Coast lead by 24 points
Carlton win by 3 points
Brisbane v Melbourne 2023 Round 18
Melbourne lead by 25 points
Brisbane lead by 1 point
Melbourne lead by 5 points
Brisbane lead by 28 points
Melbourne win by 1 point