A history of the double comeback

This article was originally published on This Week In Football.

A quick one from me this week while I’m on holiday (got to see my first game at Adelaide Oval, great stadium!).

This came to my attention from a comment on r/AFL – the idea of a double comeback. Team A gains a significant lead, Team B reverses that into a significant lead of their own, but Team A comes back again and wins the match.

Originally a thirty point margin was floated as the threshold. However, since 2001 (the start of score-by-score progression on AFLTables) there have been 29 games in which both teams have held a lead of 30+ points at some point.

But in none of those did the team who surrendered the initial lead secure the win (including the Essendon v Carlton draw in Round 23 2014.)

If we drop our threshold down to 24+ points we get 5 examples of the double comeback, any of which are well worth a revisit (unless you were on the wrong end and the wounds are still too deep) and some are genuinely classics:

Adelaide v Melbourne 2002 Semi-Final

  • Adelaide lead by 40 points

  • Melbourne lead by 28 points

  • Adelaide win by 12 points

Sydney v North Melbourne 2006 Round 10

  • Sydney lead by 27 points

  • North lead by 32 points

  • Sydney wins by 7 points

Brisbane v Carlton 2008 Round 21

  • Carlton lead by 24 points

  • Brisbane lead by 32 points

  • Carlton win by 6 points

Carlton v West Coast 2014 Round 6

  • Carlton lead by 24 points

  • West Coast lead by 1 point

  • Carlton lead by 19 points

  • West Coast lead by 24 points

  • Carlton win by 3 points

Brisbane v Melbourne 2023 Round 18

  • Melbourne lead by 25 points

  • Brisbane lead by 1 point

  • Melbourne lead by 5 points

  • Brisbane lead by 28 points

  • Melbourne win by 1 point

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